So the battle for power will involve: McCrae/Amanda vs. Helen/Elissa. We need to find out which side has more numbers. Update: Amanda says she plans on nominating Spencer/GM, and backdooring Helen if she got HOH.
Aaryn is easy to read. She's clearly on Amanda's side, but has grown closer to Helen especially with Judd's eviction. She has stated that she won't be able to nominate Helen or Amanda, and she's made it clear she wants Spencer gone, and wouldn't mind GM gone too.
Spencer is the hardest to read for me. It seems his loyalties lie mostly to McCrae (and thus, Amanda). His relationship with Helen has been damaged from the Moving Company fallout and we all know he doesn't like Elissa and Elissa doesn't like Spencer (because she nominated him week 3)
Andy is playing both sides, but he it seems he's working more with McCrae/Amanda because he tells absolutely everything to McCrae/Amanda, and has not been as forthcoming to Helen. He even formed a fake final 3 deal with Helen/McCrae/Andy.
However, he isn't playing HOH comp next week, so he's a non-factor in the nominations.
GM is in no man's land. She wants Am/Mc/El/Hel out. So if she wins HOH, look for "the house" to influence her to put up Helen and Elissa because McCranda has more numbers. And we all know GM doesn't like Elissa. Update: confirmed at 9:34pm last night, Spencer said that if GM got HOH, she would nominate Helen/Elissa with Elissa being the real target.
It seems McCranda have more numbers on their side, so unless Helen/Elissa win HOH, say goodbye to one of these two at the end of next week.
7 people can compete for HOH next week. The only way Helen/Elissa stay safe is if one of them wins HOH. Helen/Elissa have a 2/7 (28.6%) chance of staying as a duo after next week's eviction is over.
A great analysis once again by Alpha! I agree with everything but want to add that Andy and Spencer have also been getting close.. of course Andy has his fancy hands in with all conversations in the house so this is nothing new, but the two of them have spent some time on the hammock recently and have made it quite clear if Spencer were to actually win HOH this coming week that Andy would be safe (of course) but he wouldn't be be too upset if Amanda was put on the block. Personally I would be placing Helen and McCrae on the block if I won HOH. That way there is a very good chance that McCrae would win POV and take himself off at point I would replace and then be able to back door Amanda.. if "the house" felt that they didn't want McCrae's blood on their hands and decided to take out Helen instead, then so be it, my HOH would have been successful because I got rid of one of the two major power players... but then I'm not playing and only stupid sheep are playing.
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